Sunday, February 28, 2016

FiveThirtyEight Watches The Oscars

Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s coverage of the Oscars! We’ll be watching along, updating this article several times through the night to highlight winners who beat out the odds, those who come right in line with expectations, and people who did a great job predicting who would win a statue this year.

Montage of Oscar candidates

Interactive:Our elections-style Oscar model looks at the predictive power of film awards over the past 25 years and tracks this year’s nominees and winners to try to gauge the race in the big six Academy Award categories. See the state of the Oscars race »

In the meantime, check out our coverage of why it’s hard to predict the Oscars, the people exploring new ways to do so, and how the race has evolved. If you’re still figuring out how to talk about the absence of non-white acting nominees, check out our coverage of how the studios campaign for these awards and Hollywood’s big problem with casting minorities.

We’ll be updating this post after the winners of each of the major six awards we tracked this year are announced, as well as periodically throughout the ceremony to shine a light on some of the other categories.


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