Yes, Clinton is the overwhelming favorite in the Democratic nomination race. But to the extent it’s still competitive, I wouldn’t neglect the importance of the Democratic primary in Arizona tonight. It has 75 pledged delegates available — considerably more than Utah (33) and Idaho (23) combined. There wasn’t enough polling in Arizona for us to run a forecast, but if Clinton wins by as much the periodic polls we’ve had there suggest, it could be hard for Sanders to win more delegates on the evening, even if he wins overwhelmingly in Arizona and Utah. On the other hand, if Sanders comes fairly close to Clinton in Arizona, it could be a good sign for how he’ll fare in California, which has a massive number of delegates available on June 7.
(see updates…)
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